Political Risk Latin America Blog @PolRiskLatam

Brazil: What’s Next?

Posted in News and Articles, Political Risk by politicalrisklatam on January 14, 2011

by Albert Fishlow for Americas Society/Council of the Americas, January 14th, 2011.

This is a preview article of the Winter 2011 issue of Americas Quarterly, which will be released on January 27, 2011. Read more.

To virtually no one’s surprise, Dilma Rousseff took office on January 1, 2011, as Brazil’s first female president. She won decisively—by a 12 percent margin nationwide in the second round—through capturing the many voters at the bottom of the income scale who look forward to continuing gains in their daily lives under her presidency.

Dilma’s ascension to the presidential palace is really Lula’s victory, with his popularity exceeding 80 percent upon departing office. The rapid recovery from world recession, increasing employment and stable prices—all achieved during the Lula administration—ensured that Brazilians’ satisfaction would extend to his chosen successor. Lula not only picked her but guided her political campaign and has even influenced the structuring of the cabinet. Lula’s finance minister, Guido Mantega, for example, will remain in his post.

But what happens afterwards? What role will Lula play in their party, the Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT), as leaders of the Left inevitably contest with more moderate forces? (continue reading… )



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